🗊Презентация Russia economic. Report november 2007

Категория: Экономика и Финансы
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Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №1Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №2Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №3Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №4Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №5Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №6Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №7Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №8Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №9Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №10Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №11Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №12Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №13Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №14Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №15Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №16Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №17Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №18Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №19Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №20Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №21Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №22Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №23Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №24Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №25Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №26Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №27Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №28Russia economic. Report november 2007, слайд №29
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Слайды и текст этой презентации

Слайд 1


Russia Economic Report November 2007
Описание слайда:
Russia Economic Report November 2007

Слайд 2


Main Messages Robust growth supported by high energy prices, large capital inflows, rising domestic demand and prudent macroeconomic management Short-term challenges: Control inflation Limit rapid real exchange rate appreciation Manage large capital flows Maintain prudent fiscal policy Medium-term challenges: Sustain productivity growth Close the infrastructure gap Boost private investment Promote economic diversification
Описание слайда:
Main Messages Robust growth supported by high energy prices, large capital inflows, rising domestic demand and prudent macroeconomic management Short-term challenges: Control inflation Limit rapid real exchange rate appreciation Manage large capital flows Maintain prudent fiscal policy Medium-term challenges: Sustain productivity growth Close the infrastructure gap Boost private investment Promote economic diversification

Слайд 3


I. Recent Economic Developments I. Recent Economic Developments
Описание слайда:
I. Recent Economic Developments I. Recent Economic Developments

Слайд 4


Rapid Output Growth Driven by Booming Domestic Demand
Описание слайда:
Rapid Output Growth Driven by Booming Domestic Demand

Слайд 5


Non-Tradable Sectors Continued to Boom
Описание слайда:
Non-Tradable Sectors Continued to Boom

Слайд 6


Manufacturing Growth: Strong But Tapering Off
Описание слайда:
Manufacturing Growth: Strong But Tapering Off

Слайд 7


The downward trend in manufacturing might be associated with the erosion in competitiveness in non-fuel, non-metal tradable sectors Parts of manufacturing that service domestic demand with limited competition from imports may continue to thrive in Russia’s booming domestic market But the real appreciation of the ruble, without commensurate increases in productivity, drives up unit labor costs, hindering competitiveness in tradable sectors (outside resources and metals)
Описание слайда:
The downward trend in manufacturing might be associated with the erosion in competitiveness in non-fuel, non-metal tradable sectors Parts of manufacturing that service domestic demand with limited competition from imports may continue to thrive in Russia’s booming domestic market But the real appreciation of the ruble, without commensurate increases in productivity, drives up unit labor costs, hindering competitiveness in tradable sectors (outside resources and metals)

Слайд 8


Russia continues to experience an investment boom
Описание слайда:
Russia continues to experience an investment boom

Слайд 9


Despite Investment Boom, Domestic and Foreign Investments Went to A Few Sectors
Описание слайда:
Despite Investment Boom, Domestic and Foreign Investments Went to A Few Sectors

Слайд 10


Inflation is Rising, Driven by Food Prices and Monetary Factors
Описание слайда:
Inflation is Rising, Driven by Food Prices and Monetary Factors

Слайд 11


Food prices increased, but prices of non-tradable goods and services also increased…
Описание слайда:
Food prices increased, but prices of non-tradable goods and services also increased…

Слайд 12


Keeping inflation in check is becoming increasingly difficult with large capital inflows
Описание слайда:
Keeping inflation in check is becoming increasingly difficult with large capital inflows

Слайд 13


BoP continued recording surpluses: weaker C/A was more than offset by stronger Capital Account
Описание слайда:
BoP continued recording surpluses: weaker C/A was more than offset by stronger Capital Account

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Fiscal surpluses continue, but recently fiscal policy has become more accommodative
Описание слайда:
Fiscal surpluses continue, but recently fiscal policy has become more accommodative

Слайд 15


Prospects Growth is likely to remain robust. With energy prices set to remain high, booming domestic demand will continue to translate into strong growth in services and manufacturing However, growth might slowdown if medium-term challenges are not addressed…. Sustain Productivity Growth (which can also help alleviating pressures from the real appreciation of the exchange rate) Promote Economic Diversification Boost Private Investment
Описание слайда:
Prospects Growth is likely to remain robust. With energy prices set to remain high, booming domestic demand will continue to translate into strong growth in services and manufacturing However, growth might slowdown if medium-term challenges are not addressed…. Sustain Productivity Growth (which can also help alleviating pressures from the real appreciation of the exchange rate) Promote Economic Diversification Boost Private Investment

Слайд 16


II. Productivity Growth in Russia
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II. Productivity Growth in Russia

Слайд 17


Russia has experienced a productivity surge, propelling economic growth
Описание слайда:
Russia has experienced a productivity surge, propelling economic growth

Слайд 18


What are the drivers of the productivity surge? Capacity utilization Sectoral shifts Firm dynamics
Описание слайда:
What are the drivers of the productivity surge? Capacity utilization Sectoral shifts Firm dynamics

Слайд 19


Higher capacity utilization explains part of the productivity surge
Описание слайда:
Higher capacity utilization explains part of the productivity surge

Слайд 20


The productivity surge is also explained by major sectoral shifts in the economy
Описание слайда:
The productivity surge is also explained by major sectoral shifts in the economy

Слайд 21


Firm dynamics Decomposing total productivity growth into three components: ‘within’: accounts for productivity growth within existing firms ‘reallocation’: reallocation of labor across existing firms ‘net entry’: entry of new firms and exit of obsolete firms
Описание слайда:
Firm dynamics Decomposing total productivity growth into three components: ‘within’: accounts for productivity growth within existing firms ‘reallocation’: reallocation of labor across existing firms ‘net entry’: entry of new firms and exit of obsolete firms

Слайд 22


Productivity growth came mostly from efficiency gains within firms -but reallocation & net entry also mattered
Описание слайда:
Productivity growth came mostly from efficiency gains within firms -but reallocation & net entry also mattered

Слайд 23


Firm turnover plays a smaller role than in other advanced economies
Описание слайда:
Firm turnover plays a smaller role than in other advanced economies

Слайд 24


Challenges Ahead In spite of the productivity surge, Russia’s income per capita remains low (at 28 percent of EU-15 average) Rapid productivity gains were ‘easy’ to achieve in the first years of the growth rebound But now with the economy growing close to potential, sustaining productivity gains will be more difficult. Capital and labor accumulation must play a greater role Economic diversification including higher export sophistication also needs to be promoted…
Описание слайда:
Challenges Ahead In spite of the productivity surge, Russia’s income per capita remains low (at 28 percent of EU-15 average) Rapid productivity gains were ‘easy’ to achieve in the first years of the growth rebound But now with the economy growing close to potential, sustaining productivity gains will be more difficult. Capital and labor accumulation must play a greater role Economic diversification including higher export sophistication also needs to be promoted…

Слайд 25


Sustaining Productivity Growth Calls For Policy Reforms that Accelerate Reallocation of Resources towards More Efficient Uses
Описание слайда:
Sustaining Productivity Growth Calls For Policy Reforms that Accelerate Reallocation of Resources towards More Efficient Uses

Слайд 26


III. From Red to Gray: The Third Transition of Aging Population in Russia
Описание слайда:
III. From Red to Gray: The Third Transition of Aging Population in Russia

Слайд 27


Shrinking and Rapid Aging Population
Описание слайда:
Shrinking and Rapid Aging Population

Слайд 28


Aging is not a stop sign for growth: Message 1) Address labor shortage through reforms to boost productivity Message 2) Address fiscal risks associated with aging (pension, health & long care) Russia, Growth decomposition, 1998-2005
Описание слайда:
Aging is not a stop sign for growth: Message 1) Address labor shortage through reforms to boost productivity Message 2) Address fiscal risks associated with aging (pension, health & long care) Russia, Growth decomposition, 1998-2005

Слайд 29


Thank you for your attention
Описание слайда:
Thank you for your attention

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